This is a class blog for the students of POLSCI 426: Congressional Politics at the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee.
Fight for midterm elections not confined to traditional battlegrounds
The mid-term battles begin, but this time more and more traditionally demarcate held seats are running into serious opposition. Many quality challengers are running hard at the core of the Democratic Party’s core seats. Even Representative David R. Obey who has kept his seat for many years is running into a possible upset. The incumbency advantage this election cycle may not be enough to prevent hard core demarcates from losing their seats. While mid-term elections generally favor the minority part, this cycle may tip the scales to the republicans. In any case it seems like the dem’s will lose there bullet proof majority and will lessen Obama’s chances of pushing his agenda through without some major compromises.
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3 comments:
I'm not so sure that the Republicans really have as much wind in their sails as they say. I think it's mostly just a lot of talk to make themselves appear confident and as though there's a lot of momentum behind their party. It's clear that the Democrats are taking some heat, but I don't really think that it's as bad as the article makes it seem. And for a Rep. like Obey, I don't think that this election is going to be his undoing. Now I can't say for sure but the idea that the 1994 elections pale in comparison to this year's climate seems overblown too. Like there's going to be something on the scale of a second Republican revolution.
I think that the Democrats have pushed forward with an agenda that some call socialism. I think if we list the problems the face in the upcoming elections they are lengthy. They must explain; The stimulus package which drove this nation into incredible debt while not fixing unemployment much. The have been highly involved in over 48% of our national industries in one year. GM, AIG Fannie Mae Freddie Mac,the health care system, and now they will attempt to reform Wall street. There are a lot of people that will say this is just too much government involvement into American life. The policy of forcing people to buy a product from a private company (insurance) also seems UN-American. It will be interesting to see how this plays out in November.
The difference between 1994 and 2010 so far is that in 1994 there was a clear message the opposition had. Right now the Republican's seem to just be an opposition party. In 1994 the Republicans had alternative POLICIES. Then they laid out a Contract for America where they had a clear message of what they wanted to do differently.
This year, as the economy is getting better most of the fears are alleviating. Opposition is not enough. The Tea Party is fracturing the Republican party and moving it far to the right. Liberals and moderates are feeling less comfortable with a far right republican party. I agree with Murphy. While the Dems do face a headwind, I think it is overblown a bit.
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