This is a class blog for the students of POLSCI 426: Congressional Politics at the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee.
Democrats’ Iraq Plan Draws Broad Support, Poll Shows
One of the first poles to test individual public opinion in individual congressional districts since the 2006 midterm elections. The pole results reveal that the democrats plan from with drawl of Iraq by early 2008. Also, 58% also oppose Bush's plans for a surge in the amount of troops. The result of this could be negative if Congress does not act. It is possible that voters could vote for a challenger in the next election if no pull out happens.
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1 comment:
Given that Senate preferences tend to be more isolated from the influence of public sentiment than House preferences, it is predictable that this and other recent polls will shift votes slightly farther away from the status quo and towards a sooner troop withdrawal (as recent withdrawal proposals have been centered around a 2008 deadline, versus some proposals from last year that posited a 2010 withdrawal deadline). Given that preferences within the same congressional session are relatively stable and given the failure of a non-binding withdrawal resolution earlier this congressional session, it logically follows that touting the results of a few polls every month will change House preferences only within a margin of error (around 3% to 5%) and will have no impact on Senate preferences. Therefore, I predict the status quo will prevail due to the substantial margin by which withdrawal proposals have failed to pass either chamber of Congress, let alone survive a presidential veto.
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