weak economy good news for dems??
The November election has many issues for congressional candidates to focus on, this article stresses the importance of the state of the economy. President Bush this morning during a press conferences stated that the economy was in a "slow down" but is not heading towards recession. This has led to believe that voters are going to see this slowdown as a problem brought on by the Republican party and will give Democrats an increased advantage in the House and Senate. We discussed in class how the President has an advantage over Congress in that the Pres. is a much more visual figure, therefore, is much more open to receiving grief/praise. In this case Republicans can potentially lose more seats in Congress because the President is a Republican. People seem to forget that the Democrats have controlled Congress for the past four years. Depending on the state of the economy come November, the GOP may see its numbers dwindle even more.
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3 comments:
The Democrats have controlled Congress for a little over a year, not 4. Whether or not Congress or the President actually has a substantial amount of control over the direction of the economy, particularly in the short term, is questionable at best anyway but it is true that people vote as if they do.
at this point I think its fairly plausible for the republicans to loose more seats/power come november. however a lot of uncontrollable events may occur that can swing the voters in another direction...such as the tax rebate package rekindling the economy or a serious foreign development, all msyuy give the republicans their mojo back...
I think its too early to jump to any conclusions regarding which party will have an advantage in the House/Senate. Matt was right that the Democrats have controlled Congress for about a year, and this may or may not have an impact on who is elected president. However, if we have a Democratic president elected, I think this will definetley be of an advantage for the Democrats continuing to control Congress.
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